Arms Control

The Saga in Syria Might Not Be Over Yet

by Nukes of Hazard Blog: on April 22, 2014

To date, about 86.5% of Syria’s declared chemical weapons stocks have been surrendered. Current projections keep the program on track to meet the April 30th deadline to remove all chemical weapons from Syrian territory. The Organization for the Prohibition of Continue →

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Looking Back at Brazil’s Boreholes

by mark on April 22, 2014

On September 18, 1990, long-held suspicions about Brazil’s nuclear intentions seemed to be officially and dramatically confirmed. Brazil’s first popularly elected President in 29 years, Fernando Collor, on the scene of what his aides suggested was a nuclear Continue →

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In the inaugural Arms Control Wonk Podcast, Jeffrey and I discuss the alleged “circumventions” of the INF Treaty, the situation in Ukraine, NATO’s security commitments to the Baltic States, and the nuclear weapons related issues associated with the renewal of Continue →

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In the inaugural ArmsControlWonk Podcast, Jeffrey and I discuss the alleged “circumventions” of the INF Treaty, the situation in Ukraine, NATO’s security commitments to the Baltic States, and the nuclear weapons related issues associated with a renewal of East-West tensions.

[soundcloud Continue →

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WeekAheadSOLO

The following are some of the key arms control dates and developments to watch in the coming week.

For more news and analysis on these and other weapons-related security issues, consider subscribing to ACA’s monthly journal Arms Control Today, which Continue →

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A Few Words on Ed Snowden

by Jeffrey on April 17, 2014

If you follow me on Twitter or happen to be friends with me on Facebook, then you know I don’t think very much of Mr. Edward Snowden. From the beginning of this story, I have said that Snowden is more Continue →

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Nuclear Weapon Accidents

by krepon on April 15, 2014

Accidents happen. The least accident-prone nuclear weapons are the ones that are not in motion — but not always: see Eric Schlosser’s account of the Damascus incident in Command and Control.

Nuclear weapons in transit are more accident prone. The dangers Continue →

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Maine’s Angus King To Switch to GOP?

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on April 14, 2014

There was a  recent report that Maine independent Senator Angus King, who now caucuses with Senate Democrats, could switch to the Republican Party in 2015 if that GOP wins control of that body.

When first elected to the Continue →

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WeekAheadSOLO

The following are some of the key arms control dates and developments to watch in the coming week.

For more news and analysis on these and other weapons-related security issues, consider subscribing to ACA’s monthly journal Arms Control Today, which Continue →

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Creeping Toward the New START Limits

by Greg Thielmann on April 14, 2014

NewSTART_04_2014

By Greg Thielmann

The latest data on strategic weapons exchanged between Russia and the United States under terms of the 2010 New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) shows movement by both countries toward the three key limits of the treaty. Continue →

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Russia's illegal invasion of Crimea requires a strong and forceful US response to support  Ukraine and punish Moscow. But that fact that a meaningful response is required does not mean that we should deliberately score an own goal by taking Continue →

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Taiwan Research Reactor

by Jeffrey on April 10, 2014

Ever seen a picture of the Taiwan Research Reactor?  Me neither!

Readers may know that I am very interested in the history of Taiwan’s nuclear weapons efforts, as well as the death of IAEA Inspector Pierre Noir (although I do not Continue →

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The Prague Agenda on its Fifth Anniversary

by Nukes of Hazard Blog: on April 8, 2014

On April 5, 2009, President Obama articulated a vision of a nuclear-free world in a speech in Prague, marking the start of a committed pursuit of enhanced global nuclear security. He reiterated this commitment in a June 2013 speech in Continue →

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Syria, Forgeries and False-Flags

by Jeffrey on April 8, 2014

Whoops, somehow I initially published my notes for this piece instead of the piece itself. Here is the correct post.

Well, there are plenty of reasons to doubt Sy Hersh’s recent reporting implying that the chemical weapons attack on Ghouta was Continue →

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Syria, Forgeries and False-flags

by Jeffrey on April 8, 2014

Aaron Stein is writing a longer piece on Sy Hersh’s recent claims in the London Review of Books, but I wanted to draw attention to this line regarding an alleged DIA analysis of interest by the Al Nusra Front in Continue →

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The Bucket Brigade

by krepon on April 8, 2014

For his first term, President Barack Obama selected Significant Outsiders for his key foreign policy and national security posts. In his second term, he depends heavily on known commodities and loyalists. He promotes from within and keeps the State Department Continue →

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On 6 April 2014, Seymour Hersh published “The Red Line and the Rat Line” in the London Review of Books. The piece builds on his previous article, “Whose Sarin?,” which calls into question the White House’s framing of the 21 Continue →

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What We’re Reading Now – Iran hopes nuclear deal drafting can start by mid-May

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on April 7, 2014

IRAN Iran hopes nuclear deal drafting can start by mid-May Parisa Hafezi and Fredrik Dahl, Reuters – April 7, 2014 Iran said it hopes enough progress will be made with major powers this week to enable negotiators to start Continue →

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WeekAheadSOLO

The following are some of the key arms control dates and developments to watch in the coming week.

For more news and analysis on these and other weapons-related security issues, consider subscribing to ACA’s monthly journal Arms Control Today, which Continue →

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REP. FORTENBERRY: ...The most important -- perhaps one of the most important things that you and I do -- can do in our time of public service is to ensure that we decrease the probability of the use of a Continue →

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Saudi Arabia’s Role in an Iran Nuclear Solution

by Lauren Mladenka on April 4, 2014

April 4, 2014 | Edited by Lauren Mladenka and Geoff Wilson

Saudi’s role - “Riyadh’s opposition to the Iran nuclear talks has largely been understood in the context of the larger Saudi-Iranian and Sunni-Shia rivalry,” writes Trita Parsi in The National Continue →

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What We’re Reading Now – US-Russia Cooperation on Arms Control to Continue

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on April 3, 2014

NUCLEAR WEAPONS US officials believe Russian arms control, nuclear security cooperation will continue Douglas P. Guarino, National Journal - April 2, 2014 Lawmakers at a Senate Armed Services subcommittee meeting expressed worry over the Russian incursion in Crimea and asked Continue →

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Crowdsourcing Russian ICBMs

by Jeffrey on April 2, 2014

Russian ICBMs NATO RUSSIA Warheads Stages Fuel Basing Range (km) No. SS-18 Mod 5 (SATAN) RS-20/R-36M2 (Voyevoda) 10 2 +PBV Liquid Silo

10,000+

About 50

SS-19 Mod 3 (STILLETO) RS-18/UR-100NUTTH 6 2 +PBV Liquid Silo

9,000+

About 50

SS-25 (SICKEL) RS-12M 1 3 +PBV Solid Road-mobile

11,000

More than 150

SS-27 Mod 1 RS-12M2 (Topol M) 1 3 Continue →
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What We’re Reading Now – Russia could achieve Ukraine incursion within 3-5 days

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on April 2, 2014

RUSSIA Russia could achieve Ukraine incursion within 3-5 days Adrian Croft, Reuters - April 2, 2014 Russia has placed all the forces it needs on Ukraine’s border if it decided to carry out a successful “incursion” into the country. Continue →

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United States: Ban Landmines, Don’t Just Clear Them

by Human Rights Watch on April 2, 2014

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What We’re Reading Now – Air Force to Address Nuclear Cheating With More Spending

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on April 1, 2014

NUCLEAR WEAPONS Air Force to increase benefits, make upgrades for nuclear launch crews Brian Everstine, Defense News - March 28, 2014 In the wake of a cheating scandal at Malmstrom Air Force Base, whose crews control an ICBM wing, nine Continue →

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Massive Retaliation

by krepon on April 1, 2014

Massive retaliation is a siren song that appeals to states that cannot afford a nuclear competition but can afford to let an adversary cross the nuclear threshold first. It’s a money-saver, and it sounds persuasive, until the threat of massive Continue →

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Putin Announces Plebiscite For Alaska

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on April 1, 2014

Invoking the suffering of the Russian people and a narrative of constant betrayals by the West, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced today a plebiscite to be held in 10 days in the former Russian territory of Alaska.

“It is time Continue →

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Japan’s Pu and the Cookie Problem

by Jeffrey on March 31, 2014

Regular readers know I love public policy, especially perverse effects.  One of my favorite perverse effects is what I call “the cookie” problem after the plight of a beleaguered friend.  Let’s say you’ve come thisclose to cheating on Continue →

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What We’re Reading Now – North Korea threatens with “new form” of nuclear test

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on March 31, 2014

NORTH KOREA North Korea threatens with “new form” of nuclear test Choe Sang-Hun, New York Times - March 30, 2014 North Korea threatened on Sunday to carry out a “new form” of nuclear test-- a year after its 3rd nuclear Continue →

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WeekAheadSOLO

The following are some of the key arms control dates and developments to watch in the coming week.

For more news and analysis on these and other weapons-related security issues, consider subscribing to ACA’s monthly journal Arms Control Today, which Continue →

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missile_5

By Tom Z. Collina (UPDATED March 29)

Senator Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and other members of Congress are right to be concerned that Russia may not be complying with the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty. The State Department confirmed in January Continue →

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What We’re Reading Now – More Details Emerge in Nuclear Cheating Scandal, Resignations Begin

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on March 28, 2014

NUCLEAR WEAPONS Report identifies four main culprits in nuclear cheating scandal Robert Burns, AP - March 28, 2014 At least 82 nuclear launch officers at Malmstrom Air Force Base face disciplinary action for allegedly cheating on routine proficiency examinations, but Continue →

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PENAID Control & the MTCR

by Jeffrey on March 28, 2014

Richard H. Speier, K. Scott McMahon and George Nacouzi have a new RAND monograph out entitled Penaid Nonproliferation: Hindering the Spread of Countermeasures Against Ballistic Missile Defenses.

The report is very simple, which is not to say simplistic. Speier et al believe the MTCR should be expanded to Continue →

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US-RF Nuclear Security Cooperation

by Jeffrey on March 28, 2014

Editor’s note:  I am holding to my commitment to make three blog posts a week, no excuses.  But my post today will be a short one.  So, to make up for that, here is the Managing the Atom’s Nick Roth Continue →

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What We’re Reading Now – Despite Chill, Cooperation between the U.S. and Russia

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on March 27, 2014

RUSSIA Despite Chill, Cooperation between US and Russia Lara Jakes and Vladimir Isachenkov, Associated Press – March 26, 2014 The month-long crisis over Ukraine that led to Russia annexing Crimea has certainly created a newfound bitterness between Washington and Moscow. Continue →

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538

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on March 27, 2014

The widely respected Nate Silver, who has been on target with most of his election predictions and analysis, has come out with his first official 538 scrutiny of the 2014 elections.

The report, which can be found here, suggests Continue →

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A Wobbly Nuclear Order

by krepon on March 27, 2014

Five years ago, President Barack Obama was preparing to deliver a speech in Prague calling for the elimination of nuclear weapons. Nongovernmental organizations, including the Stimson Center, helped with blueprints for getting to zero, and distinguished “formers” were lending their Continue →

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DPRK’s New 300 mm MLRS

by Jeffrey on March 26, 2014

I’ve been mulling a post over the recent North Korean launches of Scud and now Nodong missiles, but I want to draw attention to a wrinkle that’s been neglected — North Korea’s new 300 mm artillery system.

Some of the tests Continue →

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What We’re Reading Now – Nuclear Terrorism Still Obama’s Greatest Worry

by Council for a Livable World -- The Chain Reaction: on March 26, 2014

NUCLEAR WEAPONS Nuclear terrorism greater concern to Obama than Russia David Jackson, USA Today - March 25, 2014 Given the recent conservative glee in pointing to Mitt Romney's campaign assertion that Russia is the United States' "number one geopolitical foe" Continue →

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